Regional Hosepipe Ban Risk Update
As of May 2025, the likelihood of hosepipe bans across the UK is rising due to significantly below-average rainfall and decreasing reservoir levels in many regions. The highest risk areas are in South East England and East Anglia, where water companies like Thames Water report reservoir levels well below seasonal norms, prompting warnings of potential restrictions. Other regions at notable risk include North West England and North East England, where river flows and reservoir capacities have dropped significantly, triggering early drought planning by local authorities.
In contrast, Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland currently face lower risk levels, although conditions are being monitored closely. Scotland, in particular, has experienced its driest start to the year since 1964, leading to early emergency measures in some areas. Water companies across the country are urging the public to conserve water and prepare for possible restrictions. Overall, the national outlook is cautiously moderate, but if dry conditions persist into summer, widespread hosepipe bans may become necessary—especially in the southern and eastern parts of England.
South East England
Risk Level: High
Details: This region has experienced significantly below-average rainfall, with Thames Water reporting only 42% of the long-term average in April. Reservoir levels are declining, and river flows are below average. Water companies are urging customers to conserve water to prevent restrictions. BBC+1The Guardian+1
East Anglia
Risk Level: High
Details: Similar to the South East, East Anglia has faced low rainfall and high water demand. The Environment Agency has indicated that continued dry conditions could necessitate the implementation of hosepipe bans in the coming weeks. BBC+4Sky News+4deframedia.blog.gov.uk+4
South West England
Risk Level: Moderate
Details: While the South West has received more rainfall than the eastern regions, some areas are still experiencing below-average reservoir levels. Water companies are monitoring the situation closely but have not announced any immediate restrictions.
Midlands
Risk Level: Moderate
Details: Reservoir levels are slightly below normal, and river flows have decreased. Severn Trent Water has activated early stages of drought contingency plans but remains confident in avoiding a hosepipe ban if conditions improve. Financial Times+3The Times+3GOV.UK+3
North West England
Risk Level: Moderate to High
Details: Reservoirs like Haweswater and Thirlmere are at 62% capacity, significantly lower than usual. United Utilities has acknowledged the potential need for restrictions if dry weather persists. Financial Times+6The Independent+6Yahoo News UK+6
North East England
Risk Level: Moderate
Details: River flows are exceptionally low in several areas, including the River Swale and South Tyne. Northumbrian Water has indicated that a hosepipe ban could be necessary if conditions do not improve. The Independent+1Homebuilding+1
Wales
Risk Level: Low to Moderate
Details: Welsh Water reports slightly lower reservoir levels but does not currently foresee the need for restrictions. Customers are encouraged to use water wisely. Sky News+5Homebuilding+5The Guardian+5
Scotland
Risk Level: Moderate
Details: Scotland is experiencing its driest start to the year since 1964, with some regions under "moderate scarcity" warnings. Scottish Water is transporting emergency supplies to affected areas and urging the public to conserve water. The Times
Northern Ireland
Risk Level: Low
Details: Currently, Northern Ireland has adequate water resources, and no restrictions are anticipated. However, continued monitoring is in place to respond to any changes in conditions.